Page 26 - FULL YEAR BOOK 2021

Egypt

LIVESTOCK AND number. It reported then approximately
8.5 million animals (i.e., 4.7 million head
PRODUCTS ANNUAL of dairy cattle and 3.8 million head of
2020 water buffalo), including calf production
numbers. The ministry has yet to release
any revised figures.
FAS Cairo forecasts Egypt’s production
(calf crop) in market year (MY) 2021 Cattle production input costs are high
(January-December) at 1.94 million despite the government authorizing in
head, unchanged from the U.S. 2018 an additional 400,000 hectares for
Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) yellow (feed) corn production. To lower
official MY 2020 number. Total supply cattle production costs, the government
in MY 2021 is forecast at 9.99 million aims to increase feed corn yields to 12 FAS Cairo forecasts Egypt’s live cattle
animals, increasing by 125,000 head metric tons (MT) per hectare by 2030. imports in MY 2021 at 200,000 head, down
or slightly over one percent above the Feed costs per animal are Egyptian by 80,000 animals or about 29 percent
USDA’s official MY 2020 figure of 9.86 pounds (EGP) 45.00 ($2.82) to EGP 60.00 less than the USDA’s official MY 2020
million. ($3.76) per day making it burdensome figure of 280,000 head. Post attributes
for the small-scale producer (FOREX the drop to Egypt suspending Sudanese
Egypt’s national herd is largely EGP 15.98 to USD $1.00). Water live cattle imports from November 2019
composed of bovine dairy cattle (Bos availability is also posing production to March 2020 due to the outbreak of
taurus) and domestic water buffalo challenges. The government seeks Rift Valley fever in Sudan. There also
(Bubalus bubalis), split in a ratio of 55 to herd growth to increase domestic beef has been a drop in live cattle imports
45 percent. The Ministry of Agriculture production, increase carcass weight, and from Brazil, as that country proceeds
and Land Reclamation (MALR) released help stabilize market prices. to slaughter and process more of its
in 2016, Egypt’s most recent national herd
animals for beef for export to China.
CATTLE: FAS Cairo forecasts beef production
Production, Supply and Demand Data Statistics: in MY 2021 to reach about 375,000 MT,
up by two percent or 8,000 MT above
Animal the USDA’s official MY 2020 estimate of
Numbers, Cattle 2019 2020 2021 367,000 metric tons. Post attributes the
increase to growing consumer demand
USDA New USDA New USDA New as inflation stabilizes and the Egyptian
Egypt
Official Post Official Post Official Post population grows 2.3 percent per annum
Total Cattle Beg. (Central Intelligence Agency, July 2020
Stocks 7,485 7,485 7,645 7,645 0 7,850 estimate).
Dairy Cows Beg. 4,410 4,410 4,480 4,480 0 4,500 FAS Cairo forecasts Egypt’s domestic
Stocks beef consumption in MY 2021 to reach
Beef Cows Beg. 0 0 0 0 0 0 about 675,000 MT, up by 2.5 percent or
Stocks 18,000 MT above the USDA’s official MY
Production 1,940 1,940 1,940 1,940 0 1,940 2020 estimate of 657,000 metric tons.
(Calf Crop) This slight increase in forecasted MY
Total Imports 340 340 280 280 0 200 2021 domestic beef consumption levels
is largely due to the Egyptian population
Total Supply 9,765 9,765 9,865 9,865 0 9,990 growing, which is adding over 2 million
consumers yearly. Post is revising
Total Exports 0 0 0 0 0 0
downwards it’s MY 2020 domestic beef
Cow Slaughter 750 750 740 740 0 750 consumption estimate and adopts the
USDA’s official figure of 657,000 metric
Calf Slaughter 50 50 50 50 0 50 tons.
Other Slaughter 1020 1020 975 975 0 990 Egypt’s total beef imports in MY 2021
are forecast at 300,000 MT, up over three
Total Slaughter 1,820 1,820 1,765 1,765 0 1,790
percent, or 10,000 MT greater than the
Loss 300 300 250 250 0 200 USDA’s official MY 2020 estimate of
290,000 metric tons.
Ending
Inventories 7,645 7,645 7,850 7,850 0 8000 Following the Egyptian pound’s
Total 9,765 9,765 9,865 9,865 0 9,990 November 2016 devaluation, several
Distribution private sector importers left the market.
(1,000 HEAD) Government ministries such as the
NOTE: “New Post” data reflects FAS Cairo’s assessments and are NOT official USDA data. Ministries of Supply and Internal Trade,
24 Arab Agriculture 2021

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