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Iraq



                           AGRICULTURE STRATEGIES IN IRAQ


         THE MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE PLAN UNDERSTANDING

       OF THE BEST COMBINATION OF PRODUCTION AND IMPORT

         DECISIONS NEEDED TO MEET THE COUNTRY’S DEMANDS


         Grain and Feed Annual                       Wheat Production, Supply, and Demand Statistics
        Except  for  wheat,  MY  2021/22  Iraq   Wheat          2019/2020         2020/2021        2021/2022
       grain  production is  expected to fall on
       reduced planned planted area as early   Market Begin Year  Jul 2019        Jul 2020          Jul 2021
       intermittent  rainfall  puts  a  strain  on
                                                                               USDA
                                                                                                USDA
                                                             USDA
       limited  water  resources.  MY  2020/21   Iraq        Off cial  New Post  Off cial  New Post  Off cial  New Post
       surplus  production  of  barley  led  the
       Iraqi  government  to  announce  plans   Area Harvested (Ha)  2400   2350  2400  2945              3488
       for  exporting  large  volumes  of  this   Beginning Stocks  866   887   616     1187              1595
       crop, however this has been put on hold   Production   4800    6600     4635     6238              7260
       for  the  time  being.  Water  availability   MY Imports  2050   2050   2600     1870              1700
       in  summer  2021  may  jeopardize  the   TY Imports    2050    2050     2600     1870              1700
       production  of  rice  and  corn.  Iraq’s   TY Imp. from U.S.  52  52     0        0                 0
       financial  crisis  resulting  from  the
       decline  of  the  international  oil  prices   Total Supply  7176  9537  7851    9295             10555
       and  the  devaluation  of  the  Iraqi  Dinar   MY Exports  0     0       0        0                 0
       will  negatively  impact  its  to  support  to   TY Exports  0   0       0        0                 0
       farmers,  but  the  consumption  of  grain   Feed and Residual  400  1150  400   700               850
       and feed is expected to rise as a result   FSI Consumption  6700   7200  6800    7000              7600
       of population growth. The crisis has also   Total Consumption  7100   8350  7200  7700             8450
       encouraged  more  investment  in  the   Ending Stocks  616     1187      651     1595              2105
       agriculture  sector  compared  to  other   Total Distribution  7716  9537  7851  9295             10555
       sectors  which  have  weakened  during
       this time.                           Yield             2.00     2.81    1.93     2.12              2.08
                Production                  (1000 HA), (1000 MT), (MT/HA)
                                           needed to meet the country’s demands.   Consumption:
        Post  estimates  wheat  production   The  MOA  gives  farmers  incentives  to
       in  market  year  (MY)  2021/2022  to  be   follow  the  plan  by  allowing  them  to   Post  estimates  MY  2021/22  total
       7.26  million  metric  tons  (MMT)  on   access  subsidized  inputs  as  well  as  to   consumption to reach 8.45 MMT based
       expanded  planned  planted  area.  Post   improved  marketing  through  the  Grain   on the 2021 population estimate of Iraq
       revises  its  wheat  production  estimate   Board  of  Iraq.  In  MY  2020/21,  farmers   and  its  growth  rate  and  eating  habits.
       for  MY  2020/2021  from  6  to  6.2  MMT   operating  within  the  plan  received   Ongoing  annual  consumption  drawn
       based on official data. It was anticipated   subsidized  seeds  at  a  rate  of  30  KG   from  the  Public  Distribution  System
       that   COVID-19   restrictions   would   per  donum  (approximately  120  KG/  and  the  import  of  wheat  and  flour  for
       negatively  impact  wheat  production   Ha).  Post  predicts  that  the  MY  2021/22   different  purposes  contributes  to  the
       in  MY  2020/2021  by  limiting  access   government  policy  will  remain  the   consumption rate as well. Post is revising
       to  fields,  but  in  the  end,  this  had  little   same as the previous season regarding   down MY 2020/21 total consumption to
       effect.  Favorable  weather  conditions   the purchasing of the wheat grain. This   7.7 MMT based on market observations.
       also  contributed  to  this.  Moreover,  the   is also dependent on oil prices and its
       availability of both rainfall and irrigation   impact on Iraq’s financial resources.   The  Ministry  of  Trade  (MOT)  in
       water in the upper regions contributed                                 cooperation  with  the  World  Food
       to the larger wheat harvest. Post is also   MOA’s  plan  for  MY  2021/22  was  to   Program  launched  a  new  program
       revising  down  MY  2020/21  wheat  area   plant  2.62  million  hectares  of  wheat   where  PDS  distribution  agents  will
       from  3.1  to  2.9  million  hectares  based   throughout  Iraq,  in  both  rain  fed  and   use  fingerprints  instead  of  the  paper
       on official data from the Iraqi Ministry of   irrigated zones. This plan did not include   ration  supply  card  called  Al  Butaka  Al
       Planning (MOP) Central Statistics Office   the area in Iraqi Kurdistan (KRG) where
       (CSO).  Table  2  lists  the  production,   an  additional  826,012  hectares  was
       average yield, and area for MY 2020/21.  planned  for  wheat.  The  plan  increases
                                           planted area in central and southern Iraq
       Agriculture Strategies in Iraq      by about 370,000 hectares over last year,
                                           most of it in the rain fed zone. Planting
        The  Ministry  of  Agriculture  (MOA)   is still ongoing especially in the rain fed
       annual  plan  lays  out  the  ministry’s   zone which constitutes the major part of
       understanding  of  the  best  combination   Iraq’s  wheat  crop  and  output  depends
       of  production  and  import  decisions   on the rainfall conditions.

          26    Arab Agriculture  2022
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